A data driven approach to multiple stressor impact assessment for a marine protected area
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Williams, Joel
Buelow, Christina A
Tulloch, Vivitskaia J
Turschwell, Mischa P
Campbell, Max D
Harasti, David
Connolly, Rod M
Brown, Christopher J
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Abstract
The coastal environment is not managed in a way that considers the impact of cumulative threats, despite being subject to threats from all realms (marine, land and atmosphere). Relationships between threats and species are often non-linear, thus current (linear) approaches to estimating the impact of threats may be misleading. We developed a data-driven approach to assessing cumulative impacts on ecosystems and apply it to explore non-linear relationships between threats and a temperate reef fish community. We use data on water quality, commercial fishing, climate change, and indicators of recreational fishing and urbanisation to build a cumulative threat map of the Northern Region in New South Wales, Australia. Using statistical models of fish abundance, we quantified associations among threats and biophysical covariates and predicted where cumulative impacts are likely to have the greatest impact on fish. We also assessed the performance of no-take zones, to protect fish from cumulative threats across two marine protected area networks (marine parks). We found that fishing has a greater impact on fish than water quality threats (i.e., percent increase above the mean for invertivores was 337% when fishing was removed c.f. 11% when water quality was removed inside no-take zones), and that fishing outside of no-take zones affects fish abundances inside no-take zones. Quantifying the spatial influence of multiple threats enables managers to understand the multitude of management actions required to address threats. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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Conservation Biology
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This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Griffiths, L. L., Williams, J., Buelow, C. A., Tulloch, V. J., Turschwell, M. P., Campbell, M. D., Harasti, D., Connolly, R. M., & Brown, C. J. (2023). A data driven approach to multiple stressor impact assessment for a marine protected area. Conservation Biology, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14177. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. This article may not be enhanced, enriched or otherwise transformed into a derivative work, without express permission from Wiley or by statutory rights under applicable legislation. Copyright notices must not be removed, obscured or modified. The article must be linked to Wiley’s version of record on Wiley Online Library and any embedding, framing or otherwise making available the article or pages thereof by third parties from platforms, services and websites other than Wiley Online Library must be prohibited.
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This publication has been entered in Griffith Research Online as an advanced online version.
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Ecology
Zoology
Environmental management
New South Wales
coastal management
fishing pressure
impact maps
multiple threats
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Griffiths, LL; Williams, J; Buelow, CA; Tulloch, VJ; Turschwell, MP; Campbell, MD; Harasti, D; Connolly, RM; Brown, CJ, A data driven approach to multiple stressor impact assessment for a marine protected area, Conservation Biology, 2023