Enhanced Short-term Reactive Energy Demand Forecasting by Employing Seasonal Decomposition and Multi-Model Approach
File version
Author(s)
Sanjari, MJ
Bai, F
Stegen, S
Abdellatif, A
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
Wollongong, Australia
License
Abstract
The forecasting of reactive energy demand is an essential task for power system operators as it enables effective planning and management of reactive energy sources. This work proposes a short-term reactive energy forecasting method using seasonal decomposition and a multi-model approach. The main concept of seasonal decomposition is to decompose the time series into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Subsequently, the multi-model approach is used to forecast different components, and each model will be selected based on the components' characteristics. Different models are proposed, including linear regression (LR), convolutional neural network (CNN), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) to forecast the reactive energy components. The LR, CNN, and XGB are employed to forecast the trend, seasonality, and residual components, respectively. Moreover, a real-time dataset consisting of the transformer's actual interval meter readings and performance metrics validated the proposed method's effectiveness.
Journal Title
Conference Title
2023 IEEE International Conference on Energy Technologies for Future Grids (ETFG)
Book Title
Edition
Volume
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Engineering
Neural networks
Electrical engineering
Electrical energy generation (incl. renewables, excl. photovoltaics)
Persistent link to this record
Citation
Mubarak, H; Sanjari, MJ; Bai, F; Stegen, S; Abdellatif, A, Enhanced Short-term Reactive Energy Demand Forecasting by Employing Seasonal Decomposition and Multi-Model Approach, 2023 IEEE International Conference on Energy Technologies for Future Grids (ETFG), 2023