Simple approach based on maternal characteristics and mean arterial pressure for the prediction of preeclampsia in the first trimester of pregnancy

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
File version

Version of Record (VoR)

Author(s)
Rocha, Rebeca Silveira
Gurgel Alves, Julio Augusto
Maia e Holanda Moura, Sammya Bezerra
Araujo Junior, Edward
Peixoto, Alberto Borges
Martins Santana, Eduardo Felix
Martins, Wellington P
Moreira Vasconcelos, Camila Teixeira
Costa, Fabricio Da Silva
Batista Oria, Monica Oliveira
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2017
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract

To propose a simple model for predicting preeclampsia (PE) in the 1st trimester of pregnancy on the basis of maternal characteristics (MC) and mean arterial pressure (MAP). A prospective cohort was performed to predict PE between 11 and 13+6 weeks of gestation. The MC evaluated were maternal age, skin color, parity, previous PE, smoking, family history of PE, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and body mass index (BMI). Mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) was measured at the time of the 1st trimester ultrasound. The outcome measures were the incidences of total PE, preterm PE (delivery <37 weeks) and term PE (delivery ≥37 weeks). We performed logistic regression analysis to determine which factors made significant contributions for the prediction of the three outcomes. We analyzed 733 pregnant women; 55 developed PE, 21 of those developed preterm PE and 34 term PE. For total PE, the best model was MC+MAP, which had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC) of 0.79 [95% confidence interval (CI)=0.76-0.82]. For preterm PE, the best model was MC+MAP, with an AUC ROC of 0.84 (95% CI=0.81-0.87). For term PE, the best model was MC, with an AUC ROC of 0.75 (0.72-0.79). The MC+MAP model demonstrated a detection rate of 67% cases of preterm PE, with a false-positive rate of 10%, positive predictive value of 17% and negative predictive value of 99%. The MC+MAP model showed good accuracy in predicting preterm PE in the 1st trimester of gestation.

Journal Title

Journal of Perinatal Medicine

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

45

Issue

7

Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

© 2017 Walter de Gruyter & Co. KG Publishers. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the journal's website for access to the definitive, published version.

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Clinical sciences

Science & Technology

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Obstetrics & Gynecology

Pediatrics

First trimester of pregnancy

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Rocha, RS; Gurgel Alves, JA; Maia e Holanda Moura, SB; Araujo Junior, E; Peixoto, AB; Martins Santana, EF; Martins, WP; Moreira Vasconcelos, CT; Costa, FDS; Batista Oria, MO, Simple approach based on maternal characteristics and mean arterial pressure for the prediction of preeclampsia in the first trimester of pregnancy, Journal of Perinatal Medicine, 2017, 45 (7), pp. 843-849

Collections