P value-driven methods were underpowered to detect publication bias: analysis of Cochrane review meta-analyses
File version
Author(s)
Xu, Chang
Lin, Lifeng
Tinh, Doan
Chu, Haitao
Thalib, Lukman
Doi, Suhail AR
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
Objectives: The aim of the study was to investigate the effect of number of studies in a meta-analysis on the detection of publication bias using P value–driven methods. Methods: The proportion of meta-analyses detected by Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests to have asymmetry suggestive of publication bias were examined in 5,014 meta-analyses from Cochrane reviews. P values were also assessed in meta-analyses with varying number of studies, whereas symmetry was held constant. A simulation study was conducted to investigate if the above tests underestimate or overestimate the presence of publication bias. Results: The proportion of meta-analyses detected as asymmetrical via Egger's, Harbord's, Peters', and Begg's tests decreased by 42.6%, 41.1%, 29.3%, and 28.3%, respectively, when the median number of studies in the meta-analysis decreased from 87 to 14. P values decreased as the number of studies increased in the meta-analysis, despite the level of symmetry remaining constant. The simulation study confirmed that when publication bias is present, P value tests underestimate the presence of publication bias, particularly when study numbers are small. Conclusion: P value–based tests used for the detection of publication bias–related asymmetry in meta-analysis require careful examination, as they underestimate asymmetry. Alternative methods not dependent on the number of studies are preferable.
Journal Title
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
118
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Mathematical sciences
Biomedical and clinical sciences
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Health Care Sciences & Services
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Meta-analysis
Persistent link to this record
Citation
Furuya-Kanamori, L; Xu, C; Lin, L; Tinh, D; Chu, H; Thalib, L; Doi, SAR, P value-driven methods were underpowered to detect publication bias: analysis of Cochrane review meta-analyses, Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 2020, 118, pp. 86-92