Risk stratification in the investigation of pulmonary nodules in a high-risk cohort: Positron emission tomography/computed tomography outperforms clinical risk prediction algorithms
File version
Accepted Manuscript (AM)
Author(s)
Kumar, Aravind Ravi
Steinke, Karin
Bashirzadeh, Farzad
Roach, Rebecca
Windsor, Morgan
Ware, Robert
Fielding, David
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
Background: Clinical prediction models and 18-fluorine-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG-PET/CT) are used for the assessment of solitary pulmonary nodules (SPN); however, a biopsy is still required before treatment, which carries risk. Aim: To determine the combined predictive benefit of one such model combined with modern PET/CT data to improve decision-making about biopsy prior to treatment and possibly reduce costs. Methods: Patients with a SPN undergoing 18F-FDG-PET/CT from January 2011 to December 2012 were retrospectively identified; 143 patients met inclusion criteria. PET/CT studies were rated (5-point visual scale), and CT characteristics were determined. Tissue was obtained by endobronchial ultrasonography with guide sheath (EBUS-GS), CT-guided biopsy and/or surgery. EBUS-transbronchial needle aspiration (TBNA) was used instead of nodule biopsy if there were PET-positive sub-centimetre lymph nodes. Results: The prediction model yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) of 64% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.55–0.75). PET/CT increased this to 75% (95% CI 0.65–0.84). The 11% improvement is statistically significant. PET/CT score was the best single predictor for malignancy. A PET score of 1–2 had a specificity of 100% (CI 0.73–1.0), whereas a score of 4–5 had a sensitivity of only 76% (CI 0.68–0.84). No significant difference in clinical prediction scores between groups was noted. PET/CT showed the greatest benefit in true negatives and in detecting small mediastinal lymph nodes to allow EBUS-TBNA with a higher diagnostic rate. Cost analysis did not support a policy of resection-without-tissue diagnosis. Conclusion: PET/CT improves the clinical prediction of SPN, but its greatest use is in proving benignity. High PET scores had high false positive rates and did not add to clinical prediction. PET should be incorporated early in decision-making to allow for more effective biopsy strategies.
Journal Title
Internal Medicine Journal
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
47
Issue
12
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Gibson, G., Kumar, A.R., Steinke, K., Bashirzadeh, F., Roach, R., Windsor, M., Ware, R. and Fielding, D. (2017), Risk stratification in the investigation of pulmonary nodules in a high-risk cohort: positron emission tomography/computed tomography outperforms clinical risk prediction algorithms. Intern Med J, 47: 1385-1392, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/imj.13576. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. This article may not be enhanced, enriched or otherwise transformed into a derivative work, without express permission from Wiley or by statutory rights under applicable legislation. Copyright notices must not be removed, obscured or modified. The article must be linked to Wiley’s version of record on Wiley Online Library and any embedding, framing or otherwise making available the article or pages thereof by third parties from platforms, services and websites other than Wiley Online Library must be prohibited.
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
Clinical sciences
Health services and systems
Public health
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
General & Internal Medicine
Solitary pulmonary nodule
Persistent link to this record
Citation
Gibson, G; Kumar, AR; Steinke, K; Bashirzadeh, F; Roach, R; Windsor, M; Ware, R; Fielding, D, Risk stratification in the investigation of pulmonary nodules in a high-risk cohort: Positron emission tomography/computed tomography outperforms clinical risk prediction algorithms, Internal Medicine Journal, 2017, 47 (12), pp. 1385-1392